Surviving the Black Swan

Standard retirement planning often fails over 50-60 year durations due to Sequence of Returns Risk. Based on research, this tool demonstrates how a Variable Withdrawal Strategy—specifically cutting discretionary spending during downturns—mathematically ensures portfolio survival.

Scenario Planner

Adjust your financial parameters to simulate a "Lost Decade" crash at the start of your 60-year retirement.

4.0% WR
40%

The portion of your budget you are willing to cut by up to 100% during market crashes.

Fixed (Needs)

₹3.6L

Wants (Flex)

₹2.4L

Simulation: 10-Year Crash Stress Test

Static
Flexible

Adjusted Annual Spending

Full Target
Spend Cut Applied
!

Sequence Risk

Over a 60-year retirement, sequence risk is the primary threat. Withdrawing full amounts during a crash creates a hole that growth cannot fill.

Survival Logic

Suspending "Wants" (discretionary spend) for just 2 years during a correction can extend portfolio longevity by 12-15 years.

Duration Guardrails

By removing emotion and using mechanical rules, you can maintain a higher initial withdrawal rate safely across multi-generational horizons.

The Wealth Protocols

Mechanical rules for emotional safety and portfolio success.

01

The Guardrail Signal

If your Withdrawal Rate rises 20% above the initial target due to a market drop, suspend all Discretionary spending. Maintain this until the market stabilizes.

02

The Cash Reservoir

Maintain 2 years of "Needs" in cash equivalents. When the equity market drops, fund basic needs from this buffer without selling depreciated stocks. Replenish only in up-market years.